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Sep 26, 2012
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in corn ie 2008 election cycle voted early. part of the problem for mitt romney is the ground game issue. the reason that democrats do better is because president obama has a and the dnc a fierce get out the vote and early registrationrive and ground game. >> i don't thi ttar vooi t make the debates any less important. especially because those people who vote early in most places, the third of americans who will vote early, have made up their mind, they are the partisans, the strong republica or deat ao mter what happens in those debates they know how they're going to vote. i so agree with john that we look to those moments well, look to reagan saying there you go again. >> right. >> you know, or to h.w. bush looking at his watch. there are moments that can make a hugeferee d thitut of the question for mitt romney to pull one of those off, eecially because maybe we forget, but barack obama was not a terrific -- he got better, but he was not a terrific debater in '08. i think some interesti things could still happen. >> one thin
in corn ie 2008 election cycle voted early. part of the problem for mitt romney is the ground game issue. the reason that democrats do better is because president obama has a and the dnc a fierce get out the vote and early registrationrive and ground game. >> i don't thi ttar vooi t make the debates any less important. especially because those people who vote early in most places, the third of americans who will vote early, have made up their mind, they are the partisans, the strong...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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obama win in ohio with its 18 electoral votes would put him at 261 electoral votes, that is just nine away from winning re-election. surprising exactly no one ohio has been a top focus for candidates. while governor romney logged 17 trips to the state this election cycle president obama is making his 13th visit this year alone. earlier this month the democratic ticket made clear just how much ohio means to them. >> if we win ohio, we win the election. >> if we win toledo, we will win ohio. and if we win ohio we'll win this election. >> john heilemann, there has been no shortage of love for the state of ohio this election cycle. president obama and mitt romney both speaking at 1:05 today. i wonder your take on the state it's interesting when you look at the dynamics economically at play in ohio. governor cakasic's great job of sheparding the ohio economy to account for state unemployment 7.2%, lower than the national average, it also undercuts mitt romney's message this economy isn't in turn around and time to get someone else. >> makes john kasic a hobbled sur row gate for mitt romney
obama win in ohio with its 18 electoral votes would put him at 261 electoral votes, that is just nine away from winning re-election. surprising exactly no one ohio has been a top focus for candidates. while governor romney logged 17 trips to the state this election cycle president obama is making his 13th visit this year alone. earlier this month the democratic ticket made clear just how much ohio means to them. >> if we win ohio, we win the election. >> if we win toledo, we will...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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when they polled babies it's like insane how much -- >> if they could just vote. >> obama campaign should counter it -- i don't know if you've seen that photograph going around of the baby that is screaming as mitt romney is holding it trying to get back to the mother, google baby romney it's amazing. i don't know that it works with women because, again, when women look at romney's policies, the thing that drives them the most crazy about it is, shouldn't it be my choice to have access to birth control so i can economically plan for a family and be a responsible mom. this is really -- counter intuitive to getting women, i think. >> it's sort of strategically manages to avoid the question of legitimate rape, forced rape, paul ryan's positions on those matters and the choice on the economic situation of women in america. women have not recovered as quickly in terms of job gains due to large part that manufacturing and construction have come back first, not typically women heavy jobs. i guess the question is we've talked about why now, the romney campaign has sort of trotting out whether it'
when they polled babies it's like insane how much -- >> if they could just vote. >> obama campaign should counter it -- i don't know if you've seen that photograph going around of the baby that is screaming as mitt romney is holding it trying to get back to the mother, google baby romney it's amazing. i don't know that it works with women because, again, when women look at romney's policies, the thing that drives them the most crazy about it is, shouldn't it be my choice to have...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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that's one of his keys to victory to try to get that crossover vote, folks who will vote for barack obama for president but do not want to send an all democratic ticket to washington. but when he's saying well, he said to mitch mcconnell he wasn't satisfied with the direction in which congress was going and would he vote for him, mitch mcconnell is the only republican on the ballot for senate majority leader so if you don't vote for him you're going to be excommunicated. he has to go with mitch mcconnell. i found that fascinating. the supreme court justice answer, scalia known to be a favorite amongst republicans, prime probably not going to do well with independent in the state of massachusetts. the most important number here is that amount of folks undecided in the state, 18%, and why is it that high this close to the election? elizabeth warren has seen a surge in the poll, a lot of democrats have warmed up to her, fired to get behind her. went to college in massachusetts, spent a ton of time there, i was making phone calls today to folks i know are independents and what is it about eli
that's one of his keys to victory to try to get that crossover vote, folks who will vote for barack obama for president but do not want to send an all democratic ticket to washington. but when he's saying well, he said to mitch mcconnell he wasn't satisfied with the direction in which congress was going and would he vote for him, mitch mcconnell is the only republican on the ballot for senate majority leader so if you don't vote for him you're going to be excommunicated. he has to go with mitch...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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muslim and intend to vote for him anyway because, as one virginia put it, at least he wasn't brought up filthy rich. this assumption that the wealthy republican candidate is inevitably a candidate for the wealthy as well is a big part of what's been killing romney's campaign. >> right. let's be clear the kinds of people that paul ryan was talking about include seniors, people who are drawing social security. >> those takers. they just take. >> taking more from the freg than they are -- federal government than they are paying in. they happen to be the numbers that vote in large numbers. if you're a republican and deficits with minorities and women, you need those white seniors to show up in large numbers for you. maybe they won't really understand that they fit into this category. there is a fair number of people who think this other people who are drawing on government subsidy in one way or another. but that vision part of this debate is going to be interesting because mitt romney has set himself up for some pretty difficult territory. are people on social security the kinds of voter
muslim and intend to vote for him anyway because, as one virginia put it, at least he wasn't brought up filthy rich. this assumption that the wealthy republican candidate is inevitably a candidate for the wealthy as well is a big part of what's been killing romney's campaign. >> right. let's be clear the kinds of people that paul ryan was talking about include seniors, people who are drawing social security. >> those takers. they just take. >> taking more from the freg than...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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in ohio particularly the obama team has pushed the auto rescue, there are a lot of jobs in ohio that were saved by that, and they see that as one of the reasons he's doing so well. the romney team is pushing energy and they still see a vulnerability with coal, for example, but the polls are showing that the auto issue is helping obama certainly more than this energy issue seems to be helping romney. >> it feels like when we look at the number of things both structurally and in terms of the campaign, a real rhee election for president obama is in certain ways overdetermined by the models. it's not the absolute level of economic suffering, it's where, you know, how people feel about how things are going, it's about things moving in the right direction. you have an incumbent versus someone not a current office holder. there's a lot of things that overdetermine the likelihood of president obama winning re-election. on the other hand, we have very serious voter suppression efforts in key states and i think, you know, this goes back to your point that the obama campaign is certainly not ev
in ohio particularly the obama team has pushed the auto rescue, there are a lot of jobs in ohio that were saved by that, and they see that as one of the reasons he's doing so well. the romney team is pushing energy and they still see a vulnerability with coal, for example, but the polls are showing that the auto issue is helping obama certainly more than this energy issue seems to be helping romney. >> it feels like when we look at the number of things both structurally and in terms of...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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, want to vote him out, in the last eight or ten polls on the question of whwould be better to handle the economy it's a draw. romney cpaign in that issue, that was the reason you were going wawnk itigy' recognizing that they're now moving on to foreign policy and trying to exploit openings here. i don't think obama is invulnerable on this stuff but when you look at the broader dynamics i have a hard time seeing how this is going to tn it around that dramatically. the situation in libya,e twhapp w chs stevens and do know as of -- the the has not had a press conference about it. the last we heard beyond jay carney's pressers, is susan rice saying this is unrelated to the video, a lotfy mrha surrounds what went down. it makes sense mitt romney would try to exploit that for campaign purposes and because he probably does have questions as many of us do about what exactly went wn and whether there w breach of u.s. intelligence? >> i think both speeches today and overall of state of the re no iha con operative word for the administration. right. they don't want do anything to disturb the pa
, want to vote him out, in the last eight or ten polls on the question of whwould be better to handle the economy it's a draw. romney cpaign in that issue, that was the reason you were going wawnk itigy' recognizing that they're now moving on to foreign policy and trying to exploit openings here. i don't think obama is invulnerable on this stuff but when you look at the broader dynamics i have a hard time seeing how this is going to tn it around that dramatically. the situation in libya,e...